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Crosby’s new contract; Unger-Sorum; Boqvists in Florida; RFAs subject to arbitration and more (July 10) – DobberHockey

We may soon be announcing a contract extension for Sidney Crosby. With his next contract, Crosby would have a chance to surpass Nicklas Lindstrom for most games played with a single franchise (he’s about four seasons away from that title). He’s also trying to catch Mario Lemieux’s franchise scoring record. Even now we can say that he and Mario are the best Penguins ever, and Crosby has been one of the most important pillars of a single franchise. The record would be the icing on the cake.

After reading what Rob Rossi and Elliotte Friedman have said, it sounds like the extension could be a three-year deal with a cap hit around $10 million. With the cap increase giving a little more wiggle room, I wonder if it will be three years at $10.87 million.

Kyle Dubas managed to get “93” on Marner’s cap number (before the base salary was raised and his final cap number changed), and Dubas was also Lou Lamoriello’s right-hand man when Auston Matthews got his “34” on his cap number as well.

Crosby deserves everything the Penguins can afford to pay him, and more. He’s coming off a 94-point season, and his sixth consecutive season on a 90-plus point pace. At this rate, there’s no reason he can’t maintain his point-per-game level well into his 40s.

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As of this writing on Tuesday, the Capfriendly site had not yet closed. After being purchased by the Capitals, it is inevitable that as soon as the sale closes (it was said it could be as early as July 5)HeSo any day now, the site will no longer be accessible to the public. It will be a huge loss to the public sphere, as CapFriendly had gotten to the point of being very easy to use, while still having almost any salary-related tool, answer, or statistic anyone could want.

There will be others to fill the empty space, and once the technology is created and the need is established, any site that replaces it will take much less time to fill the void than its predecessor. I’m currently getting used to the PuckPedia site, and it seems like they’re working hard to make all the updates people are asking for.

As another option, I know Eric Daoust and Dobber are working hard behind the scenes to figure out where Frozentools can get salary cap data from, as it also includes salary cap impact, average annual value, and salary for the remaining length of each player’s contract. Plus, it’s the best place to get player data.

I’m also very curious to see how much this web infrastructure and staff expertise is worth to an NHL team once the details of the sale are released.

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As far as contracts go, there are still a few UFAs and a handful of top-tier RFAs left, but I don’t think there are many surprises left in those groups.

If we look at the players who have filed for arbitration, we may still find some intrigue. Here is the list:

That’s a pretty normal number, as last year there were 22 people who filed their lawsuit, and only three of them made it to arbitration. Two of those three were goalies, which doesn’t bode well for the owners of Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, who are hoping for a quick resolution this year. On the plus side of things, both goalies received around $3.5 million in their one-year arbitration awards last year, and they had more experience and better percentage numbers than UPL got last season. If UPL is seeking more than $3.5 million through arbitration, it’s going to have a tough time fighting for it.

It may be better for the UPL to sign him to a longer-term deal now, but the Sabres won’t necessarily want to keep him for that many years since they also have Devon Levi, who is the real gem of the roster. Given that Levi is likely primed to step into a full-time starting role in a few years, the Sabres won’t want to have a $5 million AAV tied to the UPL until 2030 or beyond. It seems like arbitration to put the matter off could be the most likely outcome in this case.

JJ Moser and Spencer Stastney seem to be two other names on the list that are more likely to hit arbitration, as their rosters are crowded and teams are facing some cap pressure. Moser will be an especially interesting case, as he was recently traded, so he won’t have a great relationship with the team yet. It’s a tough way to start, come in, and have your new team tell you you’re not worth much.

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The Utah Coyotes Whatever’s signed Barrett Hayton to a two-year deal worth $2.65 million per season. Hayton struggled last year with injuries, but even so, someone who plays with Clayton Keller and Nick Schmaltz as his most common linemates should have more than 10 points in 33 games.

Hayton is right on the threshold of his breakout, and hopefully he’s had a healthy summer to train and get ready. His underlying numbers are a bit concerning, especially the low PPI, but some of that is also down to luck, as well as trying to keep up with far superior linemates. Getting back to a 45-point pace would be great for him and shouldn’t be surprising at all.

One odd note with Hayton is that after being a hit-per-game player in the early years of his career, he fell to a hit every other game last season. The full picture doesn’t tell the full story, though, as there were only six hits in his first 25 games, with the other 11 coming in his final eight, which also happen to be the eight games in which four of his 10 points came. To me, that says he was playing through injuries that were hampering his performance, and especially his physical impact, but then he started to feel better toward the end of the year. If he comes back healthy, there’s no reason his points won’t go back up, and the underlying clue will be the hit numbers.

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If you’re looking for a lesser-known prospect who is closer to NHL action and has some potential, this might be a name for you:

That said, the NHL roster is filling up, and Felix Unger-Sorum will also have to compete with players like Jackson Blake and Bradly Nadeau, who also had a tryout game at the end of last season.

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I was surprised to see that former eighth overall pick Adam Boqvist was only able to get a league minimum contract, as he signed a one-year deal with Florida yesterday. However, the fact that he signed with the defending champions to be in the same organization that hired his brother a week ago probably had something to do with the concession in the contract size.

In the 2022-23 season, Boqvist scored 40 points, but he struggled greatly last season to play in a higher position in the lineup alongside Zach Werenski. In a more protected role alongside a more defensively inclined teammate, Boqvist could shine again. His power play PPI is also very high, which is a good indication that he could help fill the void left by the departure of Brandon Montour and Oliver Ekman-Larsson (likely in the second unit).

Unfortunately for Boqvist, he is the eighth defender to sign a one-way contract for the Panthers, who also have Aaron Ekblad and Gustav Forsling ahead of him in the PP pecking order.

On offense, I also really like Jesper Boqvist as a versatile player for the Panthers. If needed, he can play wing or center in any position in the back nine. He’s not going to overwhelm the scoreboard, but he can be a 40-point player in the right role while still getting plenty of minutes in his own zone.

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Pittsburgh’s early picks could be worth keeping an eye on over the next few years, as Toronto’s recent selections of Matthew Knies, Fraser Minten and Easton Cowan by Wes Clark have all provided excellent early returns.

The Leafs’ 2024 draft was not reviewed positively, but like any draft class, we’ll have to wait and see how the players develop.

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See you next Wednesday, and if you want to stay up to date you can find me at Twitter/X hereor BlueSky here if you have any questions or comments about fantasy hockey.